CNY 2018 - USB Makaers Intl

Why do Branded USB Memory Stick prices fluctuate? Something we are always being asked by our customers. There are many reasons why Nand Flash chips fluctuate, here are just a few reasons why…

Exchange Rates

The simple answer for this is that exchange rates are constantly changing! Supply and demand is a big reason for this – like most things that are being traded. Most currencies are being bought and sold based on flexible exchange rates. As currencies supply and demand relates to a number of factors:

  • The countries monetary policy
  • The rate of inflation
  • Political and economic conditions

Monetary Policy

Many Banks attempt to control the supply and demand by increasing and decreasing the money supply and/or interest rates.

  • Money supply is the amount of currency in circulation. As a country’s money supply increases, the currency becomes more available.
  • The interest rate is the price of which money can be borrowed. If there is too much money in the economy and the prices of services or goods do not increase accordingly, prices may inflate.

How BREXIT has affected the Great British Pound

After the vote for BREXIT in June 2016, the pound became the market’s punching bag. Plunging to a 30 year low below £1.33 in the immediate aftermath. This is the lowest the pound exchange rate has been since 1985! UK productivity has dropped to where it was at the end of 2007, just before the economy took a dive into recession.

GBP VS US Dollar

After plummeting in 2016, we are still taking the hit 2 years later where the £ exchange rate is still trying to recover. GBP vs US Dollar – Yahoo Finance

Asia

Nand flash chips are traded as a commodity in Asia, much like oil and precious metals. With just a handful of manufacturers, imagine the memory chip market like the stock market, there is a constant flow of buyers and sellers every minute! This means that as the demand increases, so do the prices. China Flash Market

However, it is not just USB drives that Nand Flash chips are used for, They are also commonly used in:

  • Desktop Computers
  • Mobile Phones
  • MP3 Players
  • Laptops
  • Medical Devices and many more!

USB Flash Drive DevicesChinese Holidays also have a huge impact on the prices of Flash Memory. Holidays such as Golden Week and Chinese New Year see an increase of supply and demand by around 15%. Chinese New Year is probably the most expensive month (February) for Nand Flash Memory chips! With Factories across Asia shutting down for 2-3 weeks, the supply and demand for Flash chips take a sharp increase!

However, it is not just Holidays and busy seasons that have impacts on the increase of flash prices. Another large factor of this is in unforeseen situations. One of the biggest examples of this is the environment. In Early 2011, a magnitude-9.1 earthquake shook Northeastern Japan, letting loose a savage tsunami in its wake. This not only sadly affected the residents with health risks and physical hazards but also seriously damaged many of the factories in the area. Factories that could not produce parts of Flash chips could not fulfill orders from other factories, creating a snowball effect.

USB San Disk Factory

Whilst the Toshiba factory was not directly hit, other factories that produce the raw materials for the Flash chips had to stop production. This caused Toshiba to lower their output which leads to a sudden drop and an increase in price! Over the weekend of this natural disaster, prices increased around 30% and did not return to normal for a few months.

It is not just Mother Nature that causes problems. Malfunctioning equipment, power outages, strikes etc, all have a leading factor to cause delays in production, and as delays increase the supply and demand…so do the prices.

Large companies also have an impact on fluctuating price, For example, in 2009 Apple bought 4 months of Samsung chips leaving everyone else to fight for the scraps. Samsung produces around 40% of the worlds flash memory. This leads to…you guessed it, prices increasing due to supply and demand.

Fast changing prices can sometimes take customers by surprise, which is completely understandable. Here are a few tips and tricks to avoid extortionate prices:

  • Place an order before Chinese New Year! As the busiest and most expensive month in Asia, prices skyrocket as there are no factories producing any USB Flash Memory.
  • Plan ahead. If you know you are going to need some Flash chips/drives in the upcoming future order as soon as you can! The longer the lead time, the lower the prices.
  • Keep an eye out on big companies. Large brands such as Apple Samsung and Sony have surges of releasing new products. If you know they are about to release their brand new product, order fast, or wait until the heat has died down. These kinds of companies use Flash Chips in many devices and we know how eager people are to get them straight off the shelf. If a new product is about to be announced, chip prices are about to spike.

So, as you can see, there are many reasons behind why flash chips fluctuate, and this isn’t even all of them, this is just a few main factors to help explain.